2016 MLB Predictions

Each team’s rating and its chances of advancing to the playoffs.

Cubs27-9	NL Central	1586	-2	105-57	+257	97%	88%	22%
Red Sox24-14	AL East	1548	+15	94-68	+134	81%	55%	11%
Mets21-16	NL East	1538	-5	91-71	+102	65%	40%	6%
Dodgers20-18	NL West	1537	+4	89-73	+87	62%	49%	6%
Nationals23-15	NL East	1534	-5	92-70	+100	69%	44%	5%
Blue Jays19-20	AL East	1533	+1	85-77	+64	45%	15%	4%
White Sox24-14	AL Central	1529	+1	90-72	+78	70%	58%	6%
Cardinals20-18	NL Central	1528	+3	87-75	+92	46%	7%	3%
Giants22-18	NL West	1524	+2	86-76	+34	48%	33%	4%
Indians17-17	AL Central	1522	-6	83-79	+22	36%	21%	3%
Orioles23-13	AL East	1521	+11	87-75	+43	51%	21%	4%
Pirates19-17	NL Central	1521	0	85-77	+25	38%	5%	3%
Mariners21-16	AL West	1521	-5	87-75	+55	55%	41%	5%
Rangers22-16	AL West	1518	+3	85-77	+24	49%	35%	3%
Rays16-19	AL East	1508	-4	78-84	-20	18%	4%	1%
Astros15-24	AL West	1508	+1	78-84	-13	19%	12%	2%
Yankees16-20	AL East	1505	+1	78-84	-36	16%	4%	1%
Marlins20-17	NL East	1495	+1	83-79	+2	29%	12%	2%
Angels16-21	AL West	1495	-3	76-86	-50	14%	8%	1%
Royals18-19	AL Central	1494	-5	79-83	-34	22%	12%	2%
Diamondbacks17-23	NL West	1491	-1	76-86	-35	11%	7%	<1%
Tigers16-21	AL Central	1491	-7	76-86	-38	15%	7%	1%
Rockies19-18	NL West	1482	+5	77-85	-44	14%	8%	<1%
Athletics16-22	AL West	1480	-10	72-90	-109	6%	4%	<1%
Padres17-22	NL West	1473	+5	72-90	-83	5%	3%	<1%
Twins10-26	AL Central	1469	-1	66-96	-117	2%	1%	<1%
Brewers16-22	NL Central	1460	+2	70-92	-109	3%	<1%	<1%
Reds15-22	NL Central	1455	-1	67-95	-145	2%	<1%	<1%
Phillies22-16	NL East	1453	+2	76-86	-102	11%	4%	<1%
Braves9-27	NL East	1431	-1	59-103	-184	<1%	<1%	<1%

Forecast from

This forecast is based on 50,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical Elo ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

By Jay Boice and Allison McCann. Additional contributions from Ella Koeze.